The following chart was buried in the comments from my previous post on gold (Gold’s Post-Bubble Performance In The UK, US And Japan. ). I think this perspective on the valuation of gold deserves "deserves" a sperate post. Further blogging activity will be light until 2009
Der nachfolgende Chart war in den Kommentaen zum letzten Goldposting ( Gold’s Post-Bubble Performance In The UK, US And Japan. ) vergraben. Denke der ist so aussagekräftig das das ich Ihn nochmal gesondert poste. Meine Blogginaktivität wird über die Feiertage bis Anfang 2009 minimal sein.
Chart Of The Day How significant is this bear market? It all depends on how you measure. When measured in US dollars, the Dow currently trades 39.5% off its October 2007 record high. However, when measured with that other world currency (gold), the picture is actually more dismal. To help illustrate the point, today's chart presents the Dow divided by the price of one ounce of gold. This results in what is referred to as the Dow / gold ratio or the cost of the Dow in ounces of gold. For example, it currently takes 10.5 ounces of gold to “buy the Dow.” This is considerably less that the 44.8 ounces it took back in 1999.
When priced in gold, the US stock market has been in a bear market for the entire 21st century.
After Rogers, Faber, Gross, Buffet & Giselle now China. Don´t know what will get the most press in the US....... I assume that they will soon find a CPI formula to back out the increased costs that will come sooner or later from the weakening $ . Maybe Bernanke shouldn´t run the Fed via the applause meter ( Fleckenstein ) from Wall Street ........ It will be interesting to see how the "vilgilant" (LOL!) bond market will react to the news... And i expect at least one speech from Paulson & Co that the "strong $ policy is still in place" LOL!
Nach Rogers , Faber, Gross, Buffet & Giselle nun China. Bin mir nicht sicher was in den USA mehr Presse bekommen wird..... Höchste Zeit für die Verantwortichen eine CPI Formel zu finden die getsiegene Importpriese aus den Inflationszahlen herausrechnen...... Evtl. wäre es eine gute Idee wenn Bernanke sich mal nicht von Wall Street diktieren läßt was er zu tun hat...... Bin gespannt wie der angeblich so wachsame Bondmarkt (LOL) auf die Neuigkeiten reagiert.Ich erwarte mindestens eine Rede von Paulson & CO das die "Politik des starken $ " weiter bestand hat.... Slapstick pur!
This cover seems to be timeless..... Dieses Titelbild scheint Zeitlos zu sein........
Introducing the Xera:
Thanks to the suggestion put forth by a reader of my daily column, I have come up with the new name for our currency. Henceforth, it shall be called the xera. That's a combination of Xerox, for the piece of Xerox paper that it is; lira, which in the past was one of the world's chronically weak currencies; and, most importantly, the fact that it sounds like zero. That is ultimately where the xera is headed.
via Fleckenstein ( see Blogroll )
Dollar Slumps to Record on China's Plans to Diversify Reserves Nov. 7 (Bloomberg) -- The dollar slumped to a record low against the euro after a Chinese official said the government will buy better-performing currencies as it diversifies $1.43 trillion of foreign-exchange reserves.
``We will favor stronger currencies over weaker ones, and will readjust accordingly,'' Cheng Siwei, vice chairman of China's National People's Congress, told a conference in Beijing. The dollar is losing its status among the world's currencies, Xu Jian, a central bank vice director, said at the same meeting.
The dollar fell against 14 of the 16 most-active currencies, declining to the weakest versus the Canadian dollar since the end of fixed exchange rates in 1950, a 26-year low against the pound and a 23-year low to the Australian dollar.
China's Reserves Chinese investors have reduced their holdings of U.S. Treasuries by 5 percent to $400 billion in the five months to August. China Investment Corp., which manages the nation's $200 billion sovereign wealth fund, said last month it may get more of the nation's reserves to invest to improve returns.
``The world's currency structure has changed,'' Xu from the People's Bank of China said at the conference. ``The dollar has been depreciating.'' Cheng, speaking to reporters after his speech, said his comments don't mean China will buy more euros.
The US dollar has now lost more than a third of its value (-35%) against a basket of major currencies since Feb 2002.
The decline is accelerating. The USD has shed -12.5% of its value in the last year, -3.5% in the last month, and -1.5% in the last week alone.
``Cheng has a history of speaking out on a range of financial market and economic developments, and his comments are not always accurate,'' said Glenn Maguire, chief Asia economist at Societe Generale SA in Hong Kong.
Cheng's remarks on Jan. 30 that China's stock rally was a ``bubble'' caused the benchmark index to fall the most in almost two years on Jan. 31. The Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index, then over 2,500 points, has since climbed above 5,300.
The dollar's decline helped drive the price of crude oil to a record and gold to a 27-year high, encouraging investors to buy assets in commodity-producing nations. The dollar's 9.8 percent drop against the euro this year boosted the competitiveness of U.S. exports, helping shrink the nation's trade deficit to $57.6 billion in August, the smallest since January.
`Asset Story' Against the pound, the dollar declined to $2.0955, the lowest since May 1981. It fell to $1.1010 per Canadian dollar. The currency slid against the Australian dollar to 93.89 U.S. cents, the lowest since April 1984 from 92.87 U.S. cents. The U.S. currency also fell to as low as 1.1347 against the Swiss franc, the lowest since December 2004.
``This is an asset story and shows sentiment for the dollar continues to be quite negative,'' said David Forrester, currency economist at Barclays Capital in Singapore.
The Australian dollar gained after the country's central bank raised its benchmark borrowing cost to 6.75 percent today. Governor Glenn Stevens, announcing today's quarter-point rate increase, said inflation will exceed his target.