Yes, We Can´t..... GMAC Scores Bailout Hattrick.....

This kind of taypayer generosity / backstop is one of the main reasons ( add to this ZIRP & QE ) the "smart money" has increased the risk appetite to the highest point since April 2006 ( just in time after one of the biggest rallies ever .....without any meaningfull pullback) , so far they have almost perfectly manage to go "ALL IN"close to the recent market top, with cash levels at the lowest point since Jan 2004! not an overstatement, taking the latest market action into account the post is looking better on a daily basis..... )..... Stories like this are one of many reasons why i´m bullish on GOLD......

Denke das genau diese Art der "Problemlösung" zu Lasten der Steuerzahler einer der entscheidenden Gründe ( neben Nullzinspolitik und "Quatitive Easing" ) ist das weltweit die professionellen Investoren Ihren Risikoappetit auf den höchsten Stand seit April 2006 hochgefahren haben ( gerade noch rechtzeitig nachdem die Märkte einen der größten Kursanstiege der Geschichte ( ohne eine nennenswerte Korrektur ) hingelegt haben, aktuell sieht es so aus als wenn Die "Profis" es fast punktgenau geschafft haben zum Markettop "All In" zu gehen, oder wie sonst soll man es bezeichnen wenn man bedenkt das die Cashlevels auf dem niedrigsten Stand seit Januar 2004! sind, mir persönlich bereitet besonders dieser Link tagtäglich mehr "Freude") ..... Erinnere im Angesicht solch "dollen" Meldungen noch einmal an mein gestriges Posting zum Thema Gold.....

GMAC Asks for Fresh Lifeline WSJ

The U.S. government is likely to inject $2.8 billion to $5.6 billion of capital into the Detroit company, on top of the $12.5 billion that GMAC has received since December 2008, these people said.

The latest infusion would come in the form of preferred stock. The government's 35.4% stake in the company could increase if existing shares eventually are converted into common equity.

Federal officials also are moving to shore up GMAC's ability to fund its daily operations, with the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. telling the company Tuesday the agency will guarantee an additional $2.9 billion in debt, according to people familiar with the discussions. The FDIC guarantee will make it easier for the company to sell debt to investors. The FDIC backed $4.5 billion in GMAC-issued debt earlier this year.

The FDIC approval came just four days before the expiration of the regulator's program that guarantees debt issued by certain banks. It ended months of tense negotiations between GMAC and regulators.

At GMAC, the likelihood of a third infusion increased when the government's stress-test results were released in May. The tests were conducted to determine whether banks would need more capital to continue lending if the economy deteriorated in 2009 and 2010. The test concluded GMAC needed $11.5 billion in common equity to continue lending in a stressed economy.

GMAC raised some of the money directly from the government, but a significant hole remains. The company hasn't been able to attract much capital from private investors because it isn't listed as a public company, forcing GMAC to begin negotiating with the government to find the remaining funds. GMAC and Treasury officials are now negotiating about exactly how much capital the company needs.

People close to GMAC said they don't expect the government to call for changes in management as a result of the likely infusion. The company posted a second-quarter loss of $3.9 billion amid rising loan delinquencies and the continued U.S. auto slump. It expects to release third-quarter earnings next week.

Mr. de Molina's search for capital brought him to the government's door.

The Fed awarded GMAC status as a bank-holding company and Treasury injected $5 billion in December 2008. It came back with an additional $7.5 billion on May 21. The Fed also waived rules to allow the bank to pass assets down into its bank division, and the FDIC reluctantly agreed to issue "up to" $7.4 billion in government-backed debt. The FDIC approval issued Tuesday brings GMAC to the full amount authorized in May.

In May, GMAC also launched a new brand for its online bank, called Ally Bank. Its pursuit of deposits at high rates became a key leg of its strategy, since deposits provide a cheap form of funding, but the taxpayer-assisted approach rankled competitors and the FDIC.

The dispute nearly cost GMAC its chance at the final $2.9 billion in FDIC debt guarantees. The two sides were able to hammer out an agreement that requires GMAC to keep its rates at certain amounts in exchange for the support, according to people familiar with the situation.

Rolfe Winkler

Taxpayers are lending themselves money to buy cars (via GMAC). To buy houses (via Fannie, Freddie and very soon FHA). To buy anything and everything that has to be financed.

Chris Whalen : Zombie Love: Barack Obama, GMAC and Ally Bank

If Citigroup (NYSE:C) is the Queen of the Zombie Dance Party and AIG (NYSE:AIG) the King, then GMAC is certainly one of the children. In relative terms, GMAC has received far more subsidies than any other zombie and seemingly has no access to the private markets in terms of raising new equity.....

Looking at the latest 10-Q from GMAC filed with the SEC, the only question we have is why isn't GMAC already in bankruptcy?

While GMAC's total consoldiated assets are down, Ally Bank's assets have grown by nearly 25% in the past quarter, fueled by copious television advertising and federal subsidies. The term "moral hazard" comes to mind. By propping up GMAC and Ally Bank with taxpayer dollars, the Treasury is hurting sound, well-managed banks.....

Note too that as of Q2 2009, Ally Bank was funding more than 17% of its now $42 billion in assets via the Federal Home Loan Banks -- yet another subsidy and another striking indcator of growing moral harzard......

Federal bank regulations generally identify 15% as the threshold for unsafe and unsound practices with respect to the use of FHLB advances for funding, but it seems that GMAC is exempt from these rules as well.....

Mean Street: GMAC = Insanity Deal Journal

Well, we didn’t really need it, but now we have it. Today’s WSJ piece on the bailout of auto-lender GMAC is yet further proof that there is no end to the insanity of the “Great Detroit Bailout.”

We’re not just saving failed carmakers. We’re saving GMAC, the failed financier of failed mortgages and failed carmakers…for the third time.

Last winter, we had to “help” Detroit with some temporary loans. By spring, we had to “save” Detroit with tens of billions in fresh equity. By summer, we had to “kick-start” Detroit with the Cash for Clunkers. And here we are in autumn, still at it. By winter, we’ll be in a strait-jacket we can’t get out of.

And for what? To save GMAC?

This is a business that for years lent money to lots of Americans to buy homes and cars they couldn’t afford. Remember the unsustainable housing boom? GMAC.

The unsustainable Hummer and Escalade boom? GMAC. Our unsustainable economy? GMAC.

And after the boom, comes the bust — which is exactly what GMAC is.

BANANA REPUBLIC ....... ;-)

BMW Is Taking A Hit From The US

BMW generates almost 20 percent from it´s revenue in the US. On top of this lots of the profit from almost every carmaker comes from their finance unit..... I assume the headwinds from this part of the business is facing some serious headwinds for some time to come.... At the year end report BMW pointed to only a slight increase in delinquencies to 0.46...... Times are changing very quickly......

BMW macht knapp über 20 % vom Umsatz in den USA. Hinzu kommt das bei fast jedem Autohersteller die Gewinne aus dem Finanzarm einen ganz erheblichen Anteil an den Gewinnen haben ( oder sollte ich besser sagen hatten.... ). Zumindest wird es zukünftig deutlich schwieriger hier an die goldenen Zeiten der Vergangenheit anzuknüpfen..... Zitat BMW Ende 2007 :"Dort verschlechterte sich die Risikosituation durch die Kreditkrise im Vorjahresvergleich. Die Quote der Forderungsausfälle im Segment Finanzdienstleistungen stieg gegenüber dem Vorjahr um fünf Basispunkte auf 0,46 %."

The Board of Management of BMW AG decided at the board meeting held today to increase the amount of risk provision recognised in the first quarter of the financial year 2008 in the light of the repercussions of the international financial crisis. The financial crisis has become more severe of late. This has resulted in a drop in pre-owned car selling prices, particularly in North America, and consequently in a reduction of revenues that can be generated on vehicles at the end of lease contracts. This downward trend accelerated during the month of March. For the above reasons, it was necessary to recognise a higher risk provision for lease vehicles on the one hand and for the increased level of bad debts/payment arrears on the other. In total, an expense of euro 236 million was recognised.

BMW Der Vorstand der BMW AG hat in seiner heutigen Sitzung entschieden, angesichts der Auswirkungen der internationalen Finanzkrise die Risikovorsorge im ersten Quartal des Geschäftsjahres 2008 zu erhöhen. Die Finanzkrise hat sich zuletzt verschärft. Infolge dessen sanken insbesondere in Nordamerika die Gebrauchtwagenpreise und damit die Erlöse für Fahrzeuge, die aus Leasingverträgen zurückkommen. Dieser Abwärtstrend hat sich im März verstärkt. Die oben genannten Gründe machten zudem eine höhere Risikovorsorge für den Bestand an Leasingfahrzeugen sowie für erhöhte Kreditausfälle und Zahlungsverzögerungen notwendig. Insgesamt belaufen sich die Ergebnisbelastungen auf 236 Mio. Euro.

> Here is an interesting chart that shows how sometimes irrational markets often appear... GM has only underperformed BMW slightly during the past 3 years ( at least on a nominal basis and when you compare the fundamentals ) .... BMW has had almost 18 billions € in operating cash flow during this timeframe and has an excellent A rating from the agencies....... We all know that GM has probably lost a similar $ amount during the same period and is rated as junk.....

> Hier mal ein nettes Beispiel wie "merkwürdig" sich Aktien teilweise verhalten.... GM had über ienen Zeitraum von 3 Jahren nur unwesentlich schlechter als BMW abgeschnitten ( wenn man die Währung mal aussen vor läßt )... BMW hat in dieser Zeit einen operativen Cash Flow von über 18 Mrd € erzielt und wird mit einem esrtklassigen A Kreditrating ( für einen Automobilhersteller ) von den Ratingagenturen bewertet.... GM hat bekanntermaßen einen noch größeren vergleichbaren Mittelabfluß "erwirtschaftet"und wird folgerichtig selbst von den größtenteils inkompetenten Ratingagenturen mit Junk bewertet.......

Update:

Moody's Investors Service on Friday lowered the rating outlook for General Motors Corp. to negative from stable because of weakness at GMAC LLC's subsidiary, ResCap LLC. Moody's affirmed GM's B3 corporate family rating and its SGL-1 speculative grade liquidity rating. "The change in outlook reflects Moody's concerns that GMAC LLC's ability to provide retail and wholesale funding in support of GM's automotive operations may be eroded by the operating weakness at its subsidiary, ResCap LLC," Moody's said in a statement. About $35 billion of GM debt is affected by the ratings

GMAC Gets $21 Billion in Citigroup Funding for Auto, Home Loans

This sounds to me like "throwing good money after bad money". Ceberus and GMAC must be in big big trouble. Too bad that they didn´t disclose the loan terms. But when a "smart" investor like Ceberus bought several subprime lender during the past 2 years and therefore has shown their brilliant expertise i assume the terms of the loan should be far from brutal (sarcasm off...). The clearest sign if the terms are "risk priced" will come to light when Citigroup fails to unload/syndicate them. No wonder Ceberus & Co are launching multi billion vulture funds...... Maybe they can ask Citigroup to invest when they buy some of the loans with a discount.. ;-). And after viewing this Rescap presentation / pdf from August the vultures are probably already rotating......

Das ganze klingt ein wenig nach der wenig erfolfversprechenden Formel "gutem Geld schlechtes hinterherwerfen". Ceberus und GMAC stecken wohl in existensziellen Schwierigkeiten. Was würde ich geben um die Kreditbestimmungen einsehen zu können. Nachdem Ceberus seine überragende Expertise dank der diversen Käufe im Subprimesektor binnen der letzten 24 Monate eindrucksvoll nachgewiesen hat sollten die Bedingungen aber milde ausfallen (Sarkasmus). Wir werden wohl erst erahnen können ob die Bestimmungen dem Risiko angemessen sind wenn Citiroup es schaffen sollte den Kredit zu syndizieren. Bei solchen Meldungen wundert es nicht das Ceberus & Co. gleichzeitig momentan Mrd für sogenannte "GeierFonds" einsammeln die in Schwierigkeit geratenen Kredite für einen Bruchteil des Nennwertes einsammeln. Evtl. kann Ceberus Citigroup ja in einem Jahr um ein Investment fragen ..... ;-). Und nachdem man sich diese Rescap Presentation / pdf vom August angesehen hat sind sicher schon einige Geier am kreisen....

Sept. 12 (Bloomberg) -- GMAC LLC, the lender that reported more than $1 billion of mortgage losses after General Motors Corp. sold a controlling stake last year, is getting as much as $21.4 billion in additional credit from Citigroup Inc. for auto and home loans.

Citigroup, the biggest U.S. bank, will make $14.4 billion available immediately and as much as $7 billion more if GMAC meets certain conditions, GMAC said in a regulatory filing yesterday. The agreement replaces a $10 billion asset-backed funding facility that Citigroup provided GMAC in August 2006. Detroit-based GMAC didn't disclose the terms of the financing.....

GMAC last month moved to inject $775 million into its Residential Capital LLC mortgage unit, known as ResCap, after rival lenders lost access to short-term financing amid the worst U.S. housing slump in 16 years.

The analysts said five-year GMAC credit-default swaps narrowed by 50 basis points to 520 to 545, signaling that investors now consider the company at less risk of defaulting on its debt.

Citigroup Ties
New York-based Citigroup is more than a lender to GMAC. It was part of the group led by Cerberus Capital Management LP that bought a 50.1 percent stake in GMAC last year from GM. Michael Klein, co-head of Citigroup's investment banking and trading group, is a member of GMAC's board.

Minneapolis-based ResCap ranked as the ninth-largest U.S. mortgage lender in the first half of this year, with $41 billion in new loans, according to industry newsletter Inside MBS & ABS. The unit reported losses of $1.15 billion in the past two quarters as defaults on subprime loans made to borrowers with low credit scores accelerated.

``We view today's disclosure as added evidence that GMAC is making an effort to provide funding support to its troubled mortgage operation,'' Kathleen Shanley, a fixed-income analyst at Gimme Credit LLC, wrote in a report to clients yesterday.

`Prudent' Funding
``With the current global credit market, the company decided this funding was prudent,'' said Gina Proia, a spokeswoman for GMAC. ``This gives us additional liquidity. It bolsters our financial flexibility.''

Countrywide, the biggest U.S. mortgage company, was forced to tap $11.5 billion of emergency financing last month to avert a cash shortage. Bank of America Corp. then stepped in with a $2 billion investment on Aug. 22, easing concern that Countrywide might end up in bankruptcy.....

The new credit, which Citigroup may syndicate out to other lenders, has a one-year term, compared with a three-year term for the previous facility, Proia said. A majority of the funds are earmarked for car loans and related securities, Proia said.

ResCap was borrowing $12.3 billion as of June 30 through an affiliate that issues asset-backed commercial paper, according to a presentation on its Web site ( see Rescap presentation link above)

`Good for GMAC'
``It's really good for GMAC,'' said Thomas Flaherty, who owns GMAC's 8 percent bonds due in 2031 as part of the $25 billion he manages at Aberdeen Asset Management in Philadelphia. ``This is a very difficult environment, a very tough market.''

"He´s in fine as long as i take my medication"

Cerberus, the New York-based buyout firm and hedge fund manager, led the $14.4 billion purchase last year of a 51 percent stake in GMAC. GM later injected $1 billion of capital into GMAC to make up for writedowns on mortgage assets at ResCap.