Friday, February 16, 2007

U.S. January Housing Starts Plunge to Lowest Level Since 1997

here is what fed´s moskow has to say/spin ....here we go..........

hier was einer fed leute zu sagen hat.....

Moskow: Jan housing start drop may be due to volatility 1 :30 PM ET, Feb 16, 2007 - 12 hours ago (taken from marketwatch) - rest of his quotes in the comments


of course........../ selbstverständlich.........

U.S. Jan. housing starts fall to lowest rate since 1997
U.S. Jan. housing starts punge 14.3% to 1.408 mln
U.S. Jan. building permits fall 2.8% to 1.568 mln
U.S. housing starts down 37.8% year-on-year
U.S. Jan. single-family permits down 4.0% to 1.121 mn

U.S. Jan. single-family starts fall 11.2% to 1.108 mln
U.S. building permits down 28.6% year-on-year


http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aQQD478kkqhU&refer=home

Construction in the West fell 28.5 percent to an annual rate of 301,000 last month, the slowest since December 1996. The decline in the West from December was the biggest since January 1979.

Starts also dropped 15.2 percent in the Midwest to a 195,000 pace, the weakest since January 1991, and decreased 11.8 percent in the South to 716,000. Beginning construction in the Northeast rose 8.9 percent. (this graph doesn´t include the latest weak numbers...)

Home construction fell at an annual rate of 19.2 percent last quarter, the most since 1991, after contracting at an 18.7 percent pace in the previous three months, according to a government report Jan. 31. The decline subtracted 1.2 percentage points from fourth-quarter growth




it will be interesting to see how wall street spins this.

one thing for sure will be that this is good news for the builders (will be lower inventory down the road...), blame the weather....., cooling......, leveling off....,the bottom .....,the fed will lower rates....., blah blah ......... (or the trash from moskow...)

wird gleich wieder lustig zu sehen sein wie die gelehrten der wall street das in gute news ummünzen werden.....

every "normal" thinking person can see the job fallout and the coming economic slowdown and probably a recession....(see labels)

jeder normalsterbliche kann sich zurechreimen das dieses jobverluste und wahrscheinlich ne rezession bedeuten wird......(mehr unter den lablen)

more on this topic from

mike larson http://interestrateroundup.blogspot.com/2007/02/housing-starts-disaster.html,

calculated risk http://calculatedrisk.blogspot.com/2007/02/housing-starts-and-completions.html

plus a very funny lereah bashing from minyanville http://www.minyanville.com/articles/?a=12177 (highly recommended!)


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6 Comments:

Anonymous Anonymous said...

can you give us the source/link for this:
"Moskow: Jan housing start drop may be due to volatility"

3:43 PM  
Blogger jmf said...

hi,

unfortunatley no link but here is the list of quotes from marketwatch

Moskow: Inflation risks have diminished recently
1:30 PM ET, Feb 16, 2007 - 12 hours ago
173. Moskow still expects housing sector to stabilize in '07
1:30 PM ET, Feb 16, 2007 - 12 hours ago
174. Moskow: Jan housing start drop may be due to volatility
1:30 PM ET, Feb 16, 2007 - 12 hours ago
175. Moskow forecasts solid growth, inflation too high in '07
1:30 PM ET, Feb 16, 2007 - 12 hours ago
176. Moskow: Downside risks to economic growth have diminished
1:30 PM ET, Feb 16, 2007 - 12 hours ago
177. Moskow: Rates may have to rise further to combat inflation
1:30 PM ET, Feb 16, 2007 - 12 hours ago
178. Fed's Moskow: 'Much to early' to relax about inflation

11:19 PM  
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