Friday, June 15, 2007

Quotes Of The Day / Goldman & Bear Stearns

some remarkable numbers............bemerkenswerte daten und kommentare....

thanks to http://www.wallstreetfollies.com/

>Goldman Sachs F2Q07 (Qtr End 5/25/07) Earnings Call Transcript via Seeking Alpha http://tinyurl.com/2d2clw

"Our Investment Banking backlog increased during the quarter and reached a new record level, surpassing for the first time the prior record set in the second quarter of 2000"

>Bear Stearns Press Release http://tinyurl.com/yqgr84

Average customer margin debt balances for the quarter ended May 31, 2007 reached a record average of $95.4 billion, up 40% from an average of $68.4 billion in the quarter ended May 31, 2006. Customer short balances averaged $101.9 billion during the second quarter of 2007, up 27% from an average of $80.2 billion in the second quarter of 2006



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4 Comments:

Anonymous Anonymous said...

Some would say that increasing short interest is a good contrarian indicator. Meaning: expect the markets to continue rising. And then rise even more, as shorts begin covering.

Given the current (sehr spannkräftig) bull market, especially since last summer, it makes sense to carry some margin. Although I don't use margin personally.

2:14 AM  
Blogger jmf said...

hello,

i think some of the short interest is related to other strategies / market participants.

even i as a very small investor am short GS and long UBS to hedge my position (should have shorted Bear instead.... :-)

i know a few others personally that are short interest rate sensitive stocks and are long commodities etc.

multiply this with billions from hedge fonds , trading desk etc.......

i think that it is still very dangerous to go net short.

but given the weakening fundamentals it is harder day by day to keep the patience...

2:37 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

i think that it is still very dangerous to go net short.

Stimmt. The 'happy talk' still dominates, especially on the mass market tabloid-ish financial news sites.

but given the weakening fundamentals it is harder day by day to keep the patience...

Ich kenne das Gefühl...emotionally I want to go short more. But analytically I know it is not yet time. I will watch and wait.

3:31 AM  
Blogger jmf said...

moin moin,

i´m with you.

3:41 AM  

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